2015-2020 China Coking Coal Market Analysis and Mid and Long Term Forecast

Categories: Coal, Energy and Natural Resources, Fossil Fuels

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Description

This report provides insightful details on China coking coal capacity, output, effective supply and demand with corresponding influencing factors.

It also contains cost curve of effective Chinese met coal supply translating into FOB basis, which makes comparison with imported met coal much easier and convenient. Forecast through 2020 for China coking coal supply and demand, as well as price trends are also discussed.

Table of Contents

1. Overview of World Coking Coal Trade
1.1 Coking coal output and exports of major producing countries
1.2 Coking coal consumption and imports of major consuming countries
1.2.1 2009-2013 Major consuming countries and their consumption
1.2.2 2009-2013 Washed coking coal imports
1.3 2014 World coking coal price and influencing factors
1.3.1 Price trend
1.3.2 Influencing factors

2 2009-2014 China Coking Coal Capacity, Output and Effective Supply
2.1 Supply by coal type
2.1.1 Reserves and guarantee degree by coal type
2.2 China coking coal capacity and output
2.2.1 Capacity
2.2.2 Overall output
2.2.3 Output by coal type
2.2 Shanxi coking coal capacity and output
2.2.1 Capacity by coal type
2.2.2 Output by coal type
2.3 Influencing factors

3 2009-2014 China Coking Coal Demand And Influencing Factors
3.1 2009-2014 China coke output by usage
3.2 Coke production and coal blending
3.3 Blending ratio and consumption by coal type
3.4 China coke quality and future trend
3.5 Influencing factors of coking coal demand

4 2014 China Coking Coal Import And Export
4.1 Import and export overview
4.2 Import tonnage
4.3 Export tonnage
4.4 Import price

5 2014 China Coking Coal Price & Cost Analysis and 2015-2020 Forecast
5.1 2014 Price and cost
5.1.1 Price comparison between domestic and imported coals
5.1.2 Coking coal consumption and CFR prices
5.2 Production cost
5.2.1 Cost composition and influencing factors
5.2.2 China grade-1 primary coking coal cost
5.2.3 China grade-2 primary coking coal cost
5.2.4 China 1/3 Coking coal cost
5.2.5 PCI coal cost
5.3 Washed coking coal CFR cost at Jingtang port
5.3.1 Transport cost
5.3.1 CFR cost, Jingtang port
5.4 2015-2020 China coking coal cost
5.4.1 Influencing factors
5.4.2 2015-2020 Coal cost

6 2015-2020 China Coking Coal Supply-Demand
6.1 2015-2020 Coke and coking coal demand
6.1.1 Development of iron & steel and coking industries
6.1.2 2015-2020 Coke exports
6.1.3 2015-2020 Coke demand and washed coking coal demand
6.2 2015-2020 China coking coal supply
6.2.1 Capacity forecast
6.2.2 Output and effective supply by coal type
6.2.3 Imported coal tonnage and competitiveness
6.3 2015-2020 Supply-demand comparison
6.3.1 Oversupply to remain
6.3.2 Undersupply of strongly-caking coal to alleviate
6.3.3 Production cost to decide market share
6.3.4 Shanxi coking coal to dominate supply increase
6.3.5 Imports of Mongolian and seaborne cargoes to remain

7 2015-2020 China Coking Coal Price Trend
7.1 Oversupply to remain in the long run
7.2 Price downturn since 2012
7.3 Price forecast

List of Tables:
Table 1- 1 2009-2013 Washed Coking Coal Output by Country
Table 1- 2 2009-2013 Washed Coking Coal Exports by Major Producing Country
Table 1- 3 2009-2013 Washed Coking Coal Consumption by Country
Table 1- 4 2009-2013 Washed Coking Coal Imports by Country
Table 1- 5 2008-2014 World Economic Growth
Table 2- 1 2014 Recoverable Reserves and Service Life by Coal Type
Table 2- 2 2014 China Coking Coal Capacity by Coal Type
Table 2- 3 2014 China Coking Coal Output by Coal Type
Table 2- 4 2014 Coking Coal Washing Rate and Yield by Province
Table 2- 5 2003-2014 China Washed Coking Coal Output
Table 2- 6 2009-2014 China Washed Coking Coal Output by Coal Type
Table 2- 7 2014 China Coking Coal Capacity
Table 2- 8 2014 Shanxi Coking Coal Capacity by Coal Type
Table 2- 5 2014 Shanxi Washed Coking Coal Output by Coal Type
Table 3- 1 2009-2014 Blending Ratio by Coal Type
Table 3- 2 2009-2014 China Washed Coking Coal Consumption by Coal Type
Table 5- 1 2014-end Platts Coking Coal Quality Premium/Penalty Standard
Table 5- 2 2014 Domestic and Imported Coal Prices, CFR Shanghai Port
Table 5- 3 2014 Transport Costs of Major Coking Coal Mining Areas
Table 6- 1 2015-2020 China Coke and Washed Coking Coal Demand
Table 6- 2 2015-2020 Washed Coking Coal Blending Ratio & Demand by Coal Type
Table 6- 3 2015-2020 China Coking Coal Capacity
Table 6- 4 2015-2020 China Coking Coal Imports
Table 6- 5 2015-2020 China Coking Coal Supply-demand Balance
Table 7- 1 2015-2020 Liulin 4---JM FOR Prices in Base Case
Table 7- 2 2015-2020 Liulin 4---JM FOR Prices in High Case
Table 7- 3 2015-2020 Liulin 4---JM FOR Prices in Low Case

List of Figures:
Figure 1- 1 2009-2013 Washed Coking Coal Exports by OECD & Non-OECD Countries
Figure 1- 2 2009-2013 Washed Coking Coal Consumption and Growth
Figure 1- 3 2009-2013 Washed Coking Coal Imports by OECD & Non-OECD Countries
Figure 1- 4 2008-2014 Australian Coal FOB Prices
Figure 2- 1 2002-2014 China Raw Coking Coal Output and Growth
Figure 2- 2 2009-2014 China Raw Coking Coal Output
Figure 2- 4 2014 China Washed Coking Coal Effective Supply by Province
Figure 3- 2 2008-2014 China Coke Output by Product Type
Figure 3- 3 2009-2014 China Washed Coking Coal Consumption by Coal Type
Figure 3- 4 2014 China’s Blast Furnace Breakdown by Capacity
Figure 4- 2 2013-2014 China Coking Coal Imports by Month
Figure 4- 3 2014 China Coking Coal Imports by Month and Origin
Figure 4- 4 2014 China Coking Coal Imports Breakdown
Figure 4- 5 2013-2014 China Coking Coal Exports by Month
Figure 4- 6 2013 China Coking Coal Exports Breakdown
Figure 4- 7 2014 China Coking Coal Import Price by Month
Figure 5- 2 2014-2015 Mongolian JM Prices, Ex-stock Ganqimaodu
Figure 5- 3 2014 China Grade-1 JM Cost Curve, Washed Ex-works Basis
Figure 5- 4 2014 China Grade-2 JM Cost Curve, Washed Ex-works Basis
Figure 5- 5 2014 China 1/3 JMCost Curve, Washed Ex-works Basis
Figure 5- 6 2014 China PCI Coal Cost Curve, Washed Ex-works Basis
Figure 5- 8 2014 China Grade-2 JM Cost, Jingtang Port
Figure 5- 9 2014 1/3 JMCFR Cost, Jingtang Port
Figure 5- 10 2014 PCI Coal CFR Cost, Jingtang Port
Figure 6- 1 2015-2020 China Crude Steel and Pig Iron Output
Figure 6- 2 2015-2020 China Raw Coking Coal Output by Coal Type
Figure 6- 3 2015-2020 China Washed Coking Coal Effective Supply by Coal Type
Figure 6- 4 2020 China Coking Coal Effective Supply Breakdown
Figure 6- 5 2015-2020 China JM Supply and Demand
Figure 6- 6 2015-2020 China FM Supply and Demand
Figure 7- 1 1978-2014 China’s GDP Growth
Figure 7- 2 2000-2014 China Coal Price Trend